Eli Lilly & Company

Riparte...:D

The Committee for Medicinal Products for Human Use (CHMP) has issued a positive opinion recommending approval of Zypadhera (olanzapine powder and solvent for prolonged release suspension for injection, also known as olanzapine long-acting injection) for maintenance treatment of adult patients with schizophrenia sufficiently stabilized during acute treatment with oral olanzapine, Eli Lilly and Company (LLY) announced.
 
Unico titolo su una trentina che controllo che resta a -1.5 :wall::wall::wall:
Come mai..... :confused::confused::confused:

Sta ancora scontando la non approvazione del farmaco nuovo, più mettici il momento no delle borse. Può arrivare in area 40-41$, sotto i 40$ diventa a sconto per le notizie che abbiamo adesso, almeno secondo me.
 
Eli Lilly in late talks to buy ImClone for $6.1 bln

SAN FRANCISCO --- Eli Lilly & Co. is in advanced talks to acquire ImClone Systems Inc for $70 a share, The Wall Street Journal reported on its Web site Wednesday, citing sources close to the matter. The deal values ImClone at about $6.1 billion, according to the Journal. Recently, ImClone Chairman Carl Icahn rebuffed a $62-a-share offer from Bristol-Myers Squibb Co. saying that ImClone was in talks with "a large Pharma" company.

Non mi piacciono le aste al rialzo:no:, secondo me non è una buona notizia per LLY, vedremo come la prenderà il mercato..
 
Eli Lilly in late talks to buy ImClone for $6.1 bln

SAN FRANCISCO --- Eli Lilly & Co. is in advanced talks to acquire ImClone Systems Inc for $70 a share, The Wall Street Journal reported on its Web site Wednesday, citing sources close to the matter. The deal values ImClone at about $6.1 billion, according to the Journal. Recently, ImClone Chairman Carl Icahn rebuffed a $62-a-share offer from Bristol-Myers Squibb Co. saying that ImClone was in talks with "a large Pharma" company.

Non mi piacciono le aste al rialzo:no:, secondo me non è una buona notizia per LLY, vedremo come la prenderà il mercato..

Mi e' partita la vendita a 44 ieri negli ultimi 30 secondi di seduta...
Comunque visto le notizie sul titolo forse e' meglio cosi'. :confused:
Minima perdita ma ho ripreso il capitale, adesso seguo da fuori con pazienza l'eventuale punto di ingresso ;)
 
Comunque visto le notizie sul titolo forse e' meglio cosi'.

:yes:
Assolutamente si, se compra ImClone cala sicuro..
Già si stanno preparando con le PUT strike 45$, volume rispetto al giorno prima +15,9%, prezzo +22,5%.. fonte Bloomberg
Vediamo come si mette nei prossimi giorni...
 
Negativo, le quotazioni potrebbero scendere nel breve, 6.5 miliardi che vanno dalle saccocce degli azionisti LLY a quelle di IMCL. Ancora deve essere confermata ma la do' per certa. Le Put a 45$ lavorarenno molto bene..:yes:


Eli Lilly to acquire ImClone for $6.5 billion

Last update: 7:54 a.m. EDT Oct. 6, 2008 NEW YORK (MarketWatch) -- Eli Lilly & Co. said Monday that it will buy cancer-drug developer ImClone Systems for $70 a share, or about $6.5 billion, in an all-cash deal that is not subject to any financing conditions.
Lilly said its offer represents a 51% premium to ImClone's Systems Inc
closing stock price on July 30, the day before Bristol-Myers Squibb's bid for ImClone was publicly announced. On that day, ImClone shares closed at $46.44.
Shares of ImClone closed Friday at $64.96 and were up about 6% in premarket trading early Monday.
Bristol-Myers Squibb, which holds a 17% stake in ImClone, had been bidding for the company since late July, initially offering $60 a share. It recently raised the price to $62 a share.
ImClone Chairman Carl Icahn had rejected both bids from Bristol-Myers, calling the $62-a-share proposal "absurd."
In a press release issued by ImClone early Monday, Icahn said about Lilly's bid, "We are extremely pleased to be able to present our stockholders with an offer that, if accepted, will bring them $70 per share in cash."
Lilly expects the acquisition to close in the fourth quarter of 2008 or the first quarter of 2009.
Bristol-Myers holds the North American marketing rights to ImClone's only marketed product, Erbitux. Under the agreement, ImClone receives almost 40% in royalties on sales made by Bristol-Myers, according to analysts.
Lilly, the Indianapolis health-care giant, is already a significant marketer of cancer treatments, such as Alimta and Gemzar. But Lilly is also facing the loss of market exclusivity for some key products, which would cut significantly into its top line.
The company's best-selling drug, the antipsychotic Zyprexa, is slated to lose patent protection in 2011. Zyprexa, one of the world's most popular medications, had 2007 sales of about $4.8 billion. Gemzar, which took in sales of $1.6 billion last year, will also lose protection.
"We think very highly of ImClone's ground-breaking work in oncology, particularly its success with Erbitux, a blockbuster targeted cancer therapy, and its ability to advance promising biotech molecules in its pipeline," said John C. Lechleiter, Lilly's president and chief executive officer. "We are excited about the possibilities of improving outcomes for individual patients and building value for shareholders."
 
Lilly Takes $1.42 Billion Charge in Zyprexa Case


Oct. 21 -- Eli Lilly & Co. said it is in ``advanced discussions'' to settle an investigation by U.S. and state authorities over the antipsychotic Zyprexa and will take a $1.42 billion charge in the third quarter.

The charge will amount to $1.29 a share, the Indianapolis- based company said today in a statement distributed by PR Newswire.

The investigations stem from ``past marketing and promotional practices'' for Zyprexa and are being led by the U.S. Attorney's Office for the Eastern District of Pennsylvania, Lilly said.

``The government's investigation of Zyprexa has been ongoing for five years and we now have a heightened sense of responsibility to all our stakeholders to intensify efforts to resolve these issues,'' said Robert A. Armitage, Lilly's general counsel, in the statement.
 
Lilly Beats Estimates as Sales of Antidepressant Leap


Oct. 23 (Bloomberg) -- Eli Lilly & Co., the drugmaker buying ImClone Systems Inc., beat analysts' estimates for third-quarter profit and said sales, led by the antidepressant Cymbalta and the impotence drug Cialis, grew 14 percent.

A $1.48 billion charge to settle U.S. and state investigations into Lilly's marketing of the antipsychotic medicine Zyprexa wiped out earnings and the company reported a net loss of $465.6 million, or 43 cents a share. Excluding the charge and other one-time items, the Indianapolis-based company had a profit that beat the estimates by 2 cents a share.

Lilly agreed on Oct. 6 to buy ImClone, of New York, for $6.5 billion to gain the cancer drug Erbitux and experimental oncology medicines. The company aims to bolster revenue before Zyprexa, Lilly's top drug, starts losing sales to cheaper generic copies in 2011. The antidepressant Cymbalta, Lilly's second-biggest product, surged 40 percent, more than analysts expected.

``The charge is a distraction,'' said Tony Butler, an analyst for Barclays Capital in New York, in a telephone interview today. ``I think this is a good quarter for Lilly. Sales were modestly ahead of expectations. Cymbalta really stands out.''

Lilly rose by $1.37, or 4.3 percent, to $33.48 at 4:04 p.m. in New York Stock Exchange composite trading. The shares have fallen 38 percent this year.

Further Acquisitions

Chief Executive Officer John Lechleiter said buying ImClone strengthens Lilly's biotechnology and cancer products and the company ``will continue to look for other opportunities that align with our business strategy,'' according to the company's statement today. He said on CNBC today that Lilly's cash flow and access to credit mean the ImClone purchase won't sap the company's ability to make more acquisitions.

The quarter's loss compared with a profit of $926.3 million, or 85 cents, a year earlier. Lilly today lowered its 2008 earnings forecast to $2.44 to $2.49 a share from a range of $3.79 to $3.94 on Aug. 20. The company raised its forecast that excludes one-time items to $3.97 to $4.02, from $3.85 to $4.

Lilly said Oct. 21 it was discussing a settlement of civil and criminal investigations by federal and state authorities over its marketing of Zyprexa. The $1.48 billion charge in the third quarter included $1.42 billion to end those probes and an additional amount this month to settle Zyprexa-related consumer fraud investigations by 32 states and the District of Columbia, said Mark Taylor, a Lilly spokesman, in a telephone interview today.

Advanced Talks

Investigations led by the U.S. Attorney's Office for the Eastern District of Pennsylvania focus on whether Lilly promoted Zyprexa for Alzheimer's disease and other illnesses it isn't approved to treat. The settlement discussions are ``at a sufficiently advanced stage that it was necessary for us to accrue cash for a potential settlement,'' said CEO Lechleiter in an interview today.

Lilly's experimental blood thinner prasugrel, which the company is already advertising to doctors, was delayed by the Food and Drug Administration last month for a second time. Lilly today said the company, along with partner Daiichi Sankyo Co. of Tokyo, remains in discussion with the FDA and hasn't been told whether the agency will have an advisory panel to review prasugrel's safety.

``Prasugrel's a big deal,'' said Butler, the analyst. ``All the talk is, `Should there be a panel?' I'm not convinced there should be. The mechanism is well-understood and it's fairly easy to vet the side effects. The drug makes you bleed. What's the side-effect? Bleeding.''

Zyprexa Sales

Prasugrel's annual sales may reach $950 million by 2015, said Tim Anderson, an analyst with Sanford C. Bernstein in New York, in a research note.

Lilly's sales increased 14 percent to $5.2 billion in the quarter, aided by currency exchange rates and price increases. Zyprexa sales rose 2 percent in the quarter to $1.2 billion. The drug had $4.76 billion in 2007 sales and faced fresh competition this year after lower-priced generic copies of Johnson & Johnson's Risperdal went on sale in July.

Sales of the antidepressant Cymbalta, Lilly's second-biggest product, rose 40 percent to $716.4 million.

Impotence drug Cialis generated $376.6 million in revenue, a 21 percent increase.

Worldwide sales of the diabetes drug Byetta, which Lilly markets with Amylin Pharmaceuticals Inc., increased 22 percent to $201.2 million. Lilly's portion of the profit from Byetta climbed 25 percent to $109.2 million.

Six diabetes patients died, their pancreases inflamed, while taking Byetta, U.S. regulators said in August. The deaths threaten sales of the treatment and may hinder plans for a once- weekly version of the drug, analysts said.

Cymbalta and the osteoporosis medicine Evista also face generic competition in coming years. Those two drugs and Zyprexa generated $7.95 billion last year, 43 percent of Lilly's revenue.
 
Eli Lilly to post 2008 net loss on ImClone costs
Drug giant's upbeat on 2009 growth prospects


Last update: 8:06 a.m. EST Dec. 11, 2008 -- Eli Lilly & Co. said Thursday costs associated with the acquisition of ImClone Systems will result in a 2008 loss, wiping out the pharmaceutical giant's earlier forecast for a full-year profit.

Eli Lilly said it'll take a charge of $4.05 to $4.50 a share for ImClone, with a full-year loss expected of $1.56 to $2.06 a share.
Indianapolis-based Eli Lilly, which closed on the acquisition of ImClone late last month, had expected earnings of $2.44 to $2.49 a share earlier.
Excluding significant items, the company reiterated that it sees achieving full-year earnings of $3.97 to $4.02 a share.
Analysts, on average, expect adjusted earnings of $4.02 a share for 2008, according to a survey of estimates compiled by FactSet Research.
Including ImClone costs of 30 to 35 cents a share in 2009, earnings will be $4 to $4.25 a share, the company said.
Breaking out the charge, Eli Lilly will earn 4.30 to $4.55 a share in 2009, ahead of the Wall Street target of $4.26 a share.
The company expects robust volume growth in sales again in 2009, driven by Cymbalta, Alimta, Cialis, Humalog and the anticipated launch of prasugrel, as well as by the Elanco animal-health division.
However, due to currency fluctuations and the impact of generic competition in certain markets for Gemzar, reported sales are expected to grow at a rate in the low-single digits.
Eli Lilly also said it'll reduce the cost of bringing new medicines to market from $1.2 billion to $800 million by 2010.
The company paid $6.5 billion in cash for cancer drug developer ImClone
 
Piccola finestrella sulla trimestrale uscita da poco:

Lilly’s Net Income Rises on Added ImClone Revenue

April 20 -- Eli Lilly & Co. said profit rose 23 percent after the drugmaker added sales of the Erbitux cancer drug from its purchase of ImClone Systems Inc. in November.
First-quarter net income increased to $1.31 billion, or $1.20 a share, from $1.06 billion, or 97 cents, a year earlier, the Indianapolis-based company said today in a statement. Earnings excluding acquisition costs and other one-time items were $1.20 a share, beating the 99 cents average estimate of 13 analysts surveyed by Bloomberg.
Lilly bought ImClone on Nov. 25, adding the cancer medicine Erbitux and experimental drugs to bolster revenue before the 2011 patent expiration of the antipsychotic medicine Zyprexa, the company’s top product with $4.7 billion in sales last year. Lilly won European approval to sell its new blood thinner prasugrel in February and a U.S. review is ongoing.
“Although a higher likelihood of approval for prasugrel does improve Lilly’s earnings visibility, uncertainties on several other fronts still persist,” said Roopesh Patel, an analyst with UBS Investment Research in New York, in a note to clients today. “Lilly will encounter meaningful generic pressure between 2010 to 2015 when roughly half its projected 2010 sales are expected to erode due to patent expirations.”
Lilly affirmed its 2009 profit forecast of $4 to $4.25 a share. Excluding one-time items, analysts had estimated $4.14 a share.

Revenue, Price Increases

Revenue increased 5 percent to $5.05 billion. Worldwide, 3 percent of that growth was due to price increases. Foreign exchange rates diminished growth by 6 percent, Lilly said.
Lilly fell 76 cents, or 2.3 percent, to $32.99 at 4:01 p.m. in New York Stock Exchange composite trading. The shares declined 35 percent in the 12 months before today.
Zyprexa faced fresh competition this year after lower- priced generic copies of Johnson & Johnson’s Risperdal, a rival schizophrenia treatment, went on sale in July. Zyprexa sales were little changed at $1.12 billion.
Sales of the depression drug Cymbalta rose 17 percent in 32.the quarter to $709.3 million. The Cialis impotence pill generated $358.8 million, a 6 percent increase. Worldwide sales of the Byetta diabetes treatment, which Lilly markets with Amylin Pharmaceuticals Inc., of San Diego, increased 7 percent to $181.4 million. Lilly’s portion of the profit from Byetta climbed 18 percent to $97.5 million.
Revenue from Erbitux, used to treat colon, head and neck cancers, was $94.1 million, including Lilly’s portion of royalties and sales.

Prasugrel Delay

Prasugrel, twice delayed by the U.S. Food and Drug Administration, won a recommendation for approval on Feb. 3 by a panel of outside advisers to the FDA. Advisory panel decisions are typically adopted by the FDA.
Later that month, U.S. Congress began an investigation into the removal of a prasugrel critic from the panel, potentially delaying clearance for the medicine, analysts said.
Prasugrel may reach $950 million in annual sales by 2015, said Tim Anderson, an analyst at Sanford C. Bernstein in New York. Japan-based Daiichi Sankyo is Lilly’s partner on the drug.
 
Cash Flow Nel Q1 2009, in evidenza il pagamento del caso Zyprexa.

elilillyq12009cashflow.jpg


Nel risiko dei pharma Eli Lilly potrebbe fare qualche mossa, magari su Amlyn con cui ha una joint venture del farmaco Byetta. Se Icahn in guerra con il board di Amlyn riuscirà a spuntarla potrebbe starci il "matrimonio". L'acquisizione di ImClone è già stata digerita grazie al grande flusso di cassa dell'anno scorso. Serve una svolta entro il 2011 per la scadenza del patent proprio di Zyprexa.:yes:
 
Finalmente approvato l'Effient!! :bow:

US FDA approves Lilly, Daiichi's blood thinner

WASHINGTON (Reuters) - U.S. health officials approved Eli Lilly and Co and Daiichi Sankyo Co Ltd's blood thinner Effient after several delays, and called for the pill to carry a strong warning about bleeding risks.

The drug, a rival to Sanofi-Aventis SA and Bristol-Myers Squibb Co's blockbuster drug Plavix, will include a "black box" warning about its potential for "significant, sometimes fatal, bleeding," the Food and Drug Administration said on Friday.

Both drugs aim to prevent dangerous blood clots that can cause heart attacks or strokes. Studies showed Effient was more effective at preventing heart problems than Plavix, but had a higher risk of bleeding.

"This is a drug that does some very good things - it's a very important part of the therapeutic landscape - and it has some things you've got to watch for," Dr. Robert Temple, head of the FDA office that reviews heart drugs, told reporters.

The approval of Effient, also known as prasugrel, comes after an 18-month review in which FDA officials twice postponed their decision.

Controversy flared last year when the FDA removed a cardiologist critical of the drug from one of its independent advisory panels after Lilly contacted the agency. The action sparked a congressional investigation.

Investors have been anxiously awaiting a verdict on the drug that some see reaching nearly $1 billion in sales by 2013 and $2 billion a decade from now.

Eli Lilly and Daiichi said they would launch the drug "in the coming weeks." While the companies noted the higher bleeding rate, they added in a statement that using the drug with appropriate patients "may help reduce this risk."

The approval initially sent Lilly shares more than 2 percent higher, but the stock gave up some ground to close up 1 percent at $33.32 on the New York Stock Exchange.


SLOW UPTAKE

"The black box is slightly disappointing. It means there will probably be slower uptake in the marketplace," said Natixis Bleichroeder analyst Jon LeCroy.

The drug's label also says Effient should not be used by patients with existing bleeding problems, a history of stroke or an urgent need for surgery. Cancer cases also are mentioned lower on the label, with the FDA requiring further study.

An earlier clinical trial found newly diagnosed cancers were reported in 1.6 percent of Effient patients compared with 1.2 percent of others who got Plavix. Effient's label says "it is unclear if these observations are causally-related or are random occurrences."

Even with the drug's risks, cardiologists were "pretty excited," said LeCroy, noting Effient's ability to work more quickly than Plavix, an $8-billion-a-year drug.

One potential hurdle is price, with Plavix facing generic competition in 2011 that will pit cheaper versions of that drug against Effient.

David Moskowitz, an analyst at Caris & Company, said Lilly's drug will likely only take up to 25 percent of the market at its peak, estimating $500 million in sales by 2013.

"It's going to take time for them to penetrate the market with this label," he said.

Javan Collins, Lilly's cardiovascular business unit leader, said the company would "be very competitive" and would deploy its sales force to doctors within a month. The drug's price will be finalized next week, he added.

James Floyd, a researcher at Public Citizen's Health Research Group, said that once Effient was used more widely, the number of patients with dangerous bleeding was likely to spike given that company studies excluded certain kinds of people.

"You're going to see a lot more bleeding in general practice," said Floyd, whose advocacy group had urged the FDA to halt its review of the drug.

Effient's instructions do not limit it to short-term use but if patients use it "for a long time, you have to think about the fact that bleeding episodes continue and that the size of the benefit is somewhat smaller," FDA's Temple said.

Asked about the FDA's delayed review, Temple said FDA staff "spent a lot of time making sure we understood everything ... and had labeling that made it clear," he said. (Additional reporting by Deena Beasley in Los Angeles, editing by Andre Grenon and Tim Dobbyn)
 
Eli Lilly Says Profit Rises 21%, Boosts Forecast

July 22 (Bloomberg) -- Eli Lilly & Co. said profit rose 21 percent, beating analysts’ estimates, and raised its full-year forecast on cost-cutting.

Lilly boosted its 2009 forecast to $4.20 to $4.30 a share, from $4 to $4.25 a share. Earnings, excluding acquisition costs and other items, were $1.12 a share, beating the $1.02 cent estimate of 15 analysts surveyed by Bloomberg, the Indianapolis- based company said today in a statement.

Lilly bought ImClone on Nov. 25, adding Erbitux and experimental treatments to bolster revenue before the 2011 patent expiration of the antipsychotic medicine Zyprexa, the company’s top product with $4.7 billion in sales last year. Lilly won approval to sell its new blood thinner prasugrel in the U.S. this month.

Revenue rose to $5.29 from $5.15 billion. Second-quarter net income rose to $1.16 billion or $1.06 a share, from $958.8 million, or 88 cents a share, a year earlier. Cost of sales dropped 21 percent to $947.4 million, from $1.2 billion in 2008.

Lilly rose 73 cents, or 2.2 percent, to $34.45 yesterday in New York Stock Exchange composite trading. The shares have declined 27 percent in the past 12 months.

Zyprexa faced fresh competition this year after lower- priced generic copies of Johnson & Johnson’s Risperdal, a rival schizophrenia treatment, went on sale in July 2008. Zyprexa sales were down 3 percent to $1.2 billion.
 
Non capisco, la trimestrale ieri era buona e LLY calando a quasi -2%... C'è qualcosa che mi sfugge :mmmm:
Aspetto il filing 10-Q della SEC per ulteriori analisi
 
qualcuno la segue ultimamente? Mi pare che stia rompendo resistenze importanti con spazi aperti davanti.
 
E' vero tecnicamente è uscita da un range da cui stagnava da molti mesi, è la mia preferita nel settore healthcare perchè ha crescita nelle vendite e le altre no.. fra poco però perderà un patent importante (Zyprexia), vediamo come vanno le vendite di Effient le prossimo trimestre :yes:
LLY insieme a AMGN è una delle poche che mi convince nel settore, i generici stanno facendo le scarpe a tutti...
 
E' vero tecnicamente è uscita da un range da cui stagnava da molti mesi, è la mia preferita nel settore healthcare perchè ha crescita nelle vendite e le altre no.. fra poco però perderà un patent importante (Zyprexia), vediamo come vanno le vendite di Effient le prossimo trimestre :yes:
LLY insieme a AMGN è una delle poche che mi convince nel settore, i generici stanno facendo le scarpe a tutti...

ottima impostazione grafica, vale un buy anche con mercati "contro" sopra 36 usd 1° target 40...
 
Stava cominciando un bel trend al rialzo, poi però LLY a dicembre ha dato un outlook che non è piaciuto agli analisti e il titolo sta "rinculando".

elililly8gennaio2010.jpg


Se consideriamo contempoeraneamente la perdita di patent di Gemzar (2010) e di Zyprexa (2011) avremo un potenziale calo di ricavi, utili e cash flow del 29%. Ammettiamo che gli altri farmaci nella pipeline abbiano un rialzo modesto del 4%, troviamo un calo potenziale del 25% (anche per approssimare meglio i calcoli). Queste stime che sono molto conservative, portebbero a un P/FCF di 13,40. Buono certamente, ma si può fare di meglio se il titolo continua a scendere.:)
 
April 25, 2012, 6:55 a.m. ET

Eli Lilly & Co.'s (LLY) first-quarter earnings fell 4.2% as the patent expiration of Zyprexa hurt the pharmaceutical company's revenue and margins.

The company raised its full-year earnings estimate to $3.15 to $3.30 a share from its January forecast of $3.10 to $3.20 and backed its revenue guidance.

Lilly, whose antipsychotic drug Zyprexa lost patent exclusivity in October, has seen its profit decline in recent quarters on higher operating and marketing expenses. Lilly is facing a number of patent expirations and is working to fill its pipeline through acquisitions, its own research labs and by collaborating with several other major drug makers. These long-term growth plans have contributed to its higher costs of late, but the company recently unveiled plans to freeze base pay for most of its global workforce in an effort to rein in expenses.

Eli Lilly reported a profit of $1.01 billion, or 91 cents a share, down from $1.06 billion, or 95 cents, a year earlier. Excluding asset impairments, restructuring and other special charges, earnings fell to 92 cents from $1.24. Revenue dropped 4.1% to $5.6 billion.

Analysts polled by Thomson Reuters had most recently forecast earnings of 78 cents on revenue of $5.36 billion.

Gross margin fell to 78.6% from 79.8%.

Sales of the antidepressant Cymbalta--the company's top-selling drug, which loses U.S. exclusivity at the end of 2013--rose 23% to $1.11 billion. Sales of the chemotherapy drug Alimta increased 4.6%, and sales for the diabetes treatment Humalog were up 12%. Zyprexa sales dropped 56% to $562.7 million.
...

Eli Lilly 1Q Profit Falls 4.2% On Lower Zyprexa Sales; Co Raises Year View - WSJ.com
 

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