Berkshire Hathaway

E' un po' come se fosse un'equazione:

Partendo dal presupposto che nel 1996 Buffett considera l'intrinsic Value allineato al valore dell'azione che era 34.100 dollari da li si possono fare svariate ipotesi.
Non ho ben capito come calcola questo moltiplicatore (12 ) che viene poi applicato negli anni successivi...
O meglio rileggendo dovrebbe essere : Intrinsic Value = Investments per share+ pre tax eps*10.
Intrinsic Value 2009 = 92.500+(5000*10) ovvero 142500.
In questo caso è stato utilizzato un moltiplicatore più conservativo.

Da esperto di BRK quale sei, ritieni che tale conto sia affidabile? E che quindi come scritto nel report il mercato si sbaglia a BRK dovrebbe valere il 40% in più di adesso? :mmmm:
 
Da esperto di BRK quale sei, ritieni che tale conto sia affidabile? E che quindi come scritto nel report il mercato si sbaglia a BRK dovrebbe valere il 40% in più di adesso? :mmmm:

Io sinceramente non credo a nessuna ma proprio nessuna formula che possa stabilire l'intrinsic value di Berkshire.
Sono davvero tante le variabili presenti in una conglomerata così complessa.
Però è comunque un tentativo interessante basato anche sulle lettere di Buffett di tutti questi anni...ed i suoi chiamiamoli indizi.
Troppo difficile valutare aziende come Iscar o Marmon dagli scarni dati che concede Buffett quando dietro ci sono patrimoni notevoli (nel caso di Marmon vagoni ferroviari che al costo valevano oltre 5 billions..sinergie con BNSF ? ) o tutto il corner assicurativo ...
Fino ad un anno fa ad esempio Barron's era scettico sul prezzo di BRK... ora il vento è cambiato.. così come i conti..che stanno per pubblicare.
 
Ultima modifica:
Io sinceramente non credo a nessuna ma proprio nessuna formula che possa stabilire l'intrinsic value di Berkshire.

Sono d'accordo con te! :yes:
Anzi ti dirò che non solo su Berkshire ma anche su altre società, le variabili sono troppe e i risultati cambiano dalle stime che l'analista singolo fa.
 
Intrinsic Value = Investments per share+ pre tax eps*10.

La formula mi sembra un pò generica, calcola semplicemente l'utile lordo EPS e lo moltiplica per 10 aggiungendo l'EPS dell'investments.
Si potrebbe anche calcolare un range di prezzo mettendo
IV1=utile netto al posto del lordo
IV2=utile lordo come descritto dalla formula

Però, per capire meglio, investments per share significa Patrimonio netto (quindi attività- passività) oppure prende tutte le attività per intero?:mmmm:

Con Coca Cola ad esempio, che risultato darebbe? :mmmm:
 
Infatti sono solo ipotesi utilizzando i vari indizi che lascia Buffett nelle sue lettere:

1996 Annual Letter: “Today's price/value relationship is both much different from what it was a year ago and, as Charlie and I see it, more appropriate.”

1997 Annual Letter: “Berkshire's intrinsic value grew at nearly the same pace as book value” (book +34.1%)

1998 Annual Letter: “Though Berkshire's intrinsic value grew very substantially in 1998, the gain fell well short of the 48.3% recorded for book value.” (Assume a 15-20% increase in intrinsic value.)

1999 Annual Letter: “A repurchase of, say, 2% of a company's shares at a 25% discount from per-share intrinsic value...We will not repurchase shares unless we believe Berkshire stock is selling well below intrinsic value, conservatively calculated...Recently, when the A shares fell below $45,000, we considered making repurchases.”

E' un po' come se fosse un'equazione:

Partendo dal presupposto che nel 1996 Buffett considera l'intrinsic Value allineato al valore dell'azione che era 34.100 dollari da li si possono fare svariate ipotesi.
Non ho ben capito come calcola questo moltiplicatore (12 ) che viene poi applicato negli anni successivi...
O meglio rileggendo dovrebbe essere : Intrinsic Value = Investments per share+ pre tax eps*10.
Intrinsic Value 2009 = 92.500+(5000*10) ovvero 142500.
In questo caso è stato utilizzato un moltiplicatore più conservativo.

La formula è un pò troppo generica, però secondo me ci è andato abbastanza vicino.
 
La formula è un pò troppo generica, però secondo me ci è andato abbastanza vicino.

Mmm..questi scrolloni sono manna dal cielo... vero Capirex?
Certo che alcuni titoli non vengono giù neanche a cannonate... vedasi Campari dove mi piacerebbe mettere altro fieno in cascina.
 
Mmm..questi scrolloni sono manna dal cielo... vero Capirex?
Certo che alcuni titoli non vengono giù neanche a cannonate... vedasi Campari dove mi piacerebbe mettere altro fieno in cascina.

Puoi dirlo forte... iniziavo davvero ad annoiarmi a seguire i mercati:D
 
Coca-cola, utile in rialzo nel quarto trimestre a 1,54 mld dlr

Reuters - 09/02/2010 14:00:58



CHICAGO, 9 febbraio (Reuters) - Coca-cola (KO.N) ha registrato profitti in linea alle previsioni nel quarto trimestre. I forti volumi in America latina e in altre regioni hanno compensato il calo delle vendite in Nordamerica.

Il numero uno mondiale delle bibite ha comunicato che l'utile netto attribuibile agli azionisti è salito a 1,54 miliardi di dollari (66 centesimi per azione), dai 995 milioni (45 centesimi per azione) dello stesso trimestre dell'anno prima.

Gli analisti avevano stimato, in media, un risultato di 66 centesimi, secondo Thomson Reuters I/B/E/S.

I ricavi operativi netti sono saliti del 5% a 7,51 miliardi.

Il fatturato complessivo, in termini di volumi, è aumentato del 2%, dopo il +2% del terzo trimestre, il +4% del secondo e il +2% del primo.

Le azioni Coca-cola sono in rialzo di meno dell'1% nel pre-mercato di Wall Street.
 
Ci siamo ! Approvato lo storico deal..il più grande di tutta la storia di crescita di Berkshire :

Burlington shareholders approve sale to Berkshire

NEW YORK – Burlington Northern Santa Fe Corp. shareholders have approved the railroad's sale to Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway, paving the way for the Oracle of Omaha to complete his biggest acquisition yet.

The $26.3 billion purchase of the nation's second-largest railroad is expected to officially close on Friday.

Burlington Northern CEO Matt Rose said 70 percent of shares cast that Berkshire didn't already own voted in favor of the deal. The acquisition needed two-thirds approval to pass.

"Tomorrow begins the first century of ownership of BNSF by Berkshire Hathaway," Buffett said in a statement. "I'm looking forward to every day of it as our railroad does its part to ensure the future prosperity of the country."

Berkshire Hathaway, based in Omaha, Neb., agreed last fall to pay $100 per share in cash and stock for the 77.4 percent of BNSF shares that it didn't already own.

Before this, Berkshire's biggest acquisition was the $16 billion stock purchase of reinsurance giant General Re in 1998.

When he announced the Burlington deal, Buffett called it an "all-in wager" on the U.S. economy, since freight railroads carry so many items that consumers use everyday. Everything from toys and cars to lumber for homes and coal for electricity rolls on the rails. Burlington Northern, based in Fort Worth, Texas, ships enough coal to power one of every 10 homes in the U.S.

In an interview with The Associated Press, CEO Rose said a rise in recent shipments indicates the economy is stabilizing, but sustainable growth still appears a long way off.

Although recent storms on the East Coast have bumped up demand for coal to generate electricity, the outlook in other segments — especially those tied to consumer spending — is still mediocre at best.

"The story is better than last year," Rose said. "But not great at all."
 
Aggiungo che l'inserimento di BRKB è stato massiccio. Di solito quando un'azienda entra nell'S&P 500 è una small cap che cresce e poi diventa big; invece BRK è già big e il suo inserimento porta a dinamiche diverse. Ricordo infatti che l'S&P 500 è un indice pesato per capitalizzazione, quindi BRKB ne ha giovato "doppiamente" perchè essendo a grande capitalizzazione i gestori di fondi ETF sono stati obbligati a comprarne in grande quantita perchè il peso BRKB all'interno dell'indice non sarà "piccolo". :cool:

Erano easy money da fare su BRKB nel breve; 202 milioni di azioni scambiate ieri per un controvalore gigantesco, era l'ultimo giorno disponibile per i fondi per comprare BRKB. Da notare che il titolo si è mosso poco, +0,27%, perchè le mani forti si sono mosse prima e poi hanno distribuito ai fondi ETF a caro prezzo le BRKB. Lunedì entrerà effettivamente nell'S&P 500, quindi il tempo degli arbitraggi è finito. 3° Società in ordine di grandezza nell'indice, vedremo se il titolo rimarrà stabile la prossima settimana o ci sarà qualche adeguamento..
 
Kraft Foods profit surges on lower revamp costsExplore related topics
Kraft Foods Inc Story Quotes Comments Screener (1) Alert Email Print ShareBy Steve Goldstein KFT

29.2029.0028.8028.6028.4028.208a9a10a11a12p1p2p3pLONDON (MarketWatch) -- Kraft Foods /quotes/comstock/13*!kft/quotes/nls/kft (KFT 28.65, -0.44, -1.51%) said its fourth-quarter profit surged to $710 million, or 48 cents a share, from $180 million, or 12 cents a share, on lower restructuring costs. Revenue rose 3% to $11.03 billion as favorable currency swings and improving volume and mix offset lower prices. Analysts polled by FactSet had expected earnings of 45 cents a share on revenue of $11.03 billion. Kraft expects comparable sales growth of 4
 
ecco le mosse dell'oracolo.......

Berkshire Hathaway Boosts Stakes in Wells Fargo, Republic Services Inc., Iron Mountain Inc., WalMart Stores Inc., Sells Union Pacific Corp., Norfolk Southern Corp.
February-16-2010


Berkshire Hathaway reported its fourth quarter equity holdings after today’s market close. Apparently Warren Buffett did not find any new ideas, but he added to his holdings in Wells Fargo & Company, Republic Services Inc., Iron Mountain Inc., Walmart Stores Inc., Becton Dickinson And Company. He sold all Berkshire’s holdings in Union Pacific Corp. and Norfolk Southern Corp. during the 3-months ended 12/31/2009. Berkshire Hathaway owns 41 stocks with a total value of $57.9 billion. These are the details of the buys and sells.



Added Positions: BDX, IRM, RSG, WFC, WMT,
Reduced Positions: COP, GCI, IR, JNJ, STI, UNH, WLP, XOM,
Sold Out: NSC, UNP,
For the details of Warren Buffett's stock buys and sells, go to http://www.gurufocus.com/StockBuy.php?GuruName=Warren+Buffett

This is the sector weightings of his portfolio:


Consumer Goods
36.2%

Financials
32.8%

Industrials
16.3%

Consumer Services
6.6%

Health Care
3.8%

Oil & Gas
3.4%

Utilities
0.6%




These are the top 5 holdings of Warren Buffett

[list type=A]
The CocaCola Company (KO) - 200,000,000 shares, 19.68% of the total portfolio
Wells Fargo & Company (WFC) - 320,088,385 shares, 14.91% of the total portfolio
Burlington Northern Santa Fe Corp. (BNI) - 76,777,029 shares, 13.07% of the total portfolio
American Express Company (AXP) - 151,610,700 shares, 10.6% of the total portfolio
The Procter & Gamble Company (PG) - 87,503,411 shares, 9.16% of the total portfolio[/list]


Added: Wells Fargo & Company (WFC)
Warren Buffett added to his holdings in Wells Fargo & Company by 2.15%. His purchase prices were between $25.32 and $30.46, with an estimated average price of $27.63. The impact to his portfolio due to this purchase was 0.31%. His holdings were 320,088,385 shares as of 12/31/2009.

Wells Fargo & Company is a diversified financial services company providing banking, insurance, investments, mortgage and consumer finance services through stores, its Internet site and other distribution channels across North America as well as internationally. Wells Fargo & Company has a market cap of $140.04 billion; its shares were traded at around $27.39 with a P/E ratio of 15 and P/S ratio of 1.4. The dividend yield of Wells Fargo & Company stocks is 0.7%. Wells Fargo & Company had an annual average earning growth of 10.8% over the past 10 years.


Added: Republic Services Inc. (RSG)
Warren Buffett added to his holdings in Republic Services Inc. by 128.7%. His purchase prices were between $25.77 and $29.57, with an estimated average price of $27.71. The impact to his portfolio due to this purchase was 0.23%. His holdings were 8,290,500 shares as of 12/31/2009.

Republic Services, Inc., is a provider of services in the domestic non-hazardous solid waste industry. Republic Services Inc. has a market cap of $10.27 billion; its shares were traded at around $27.02 with a P/E ratio of 18.4 and P/S ratio of 1.3. The dividend yield of Republic Services Inc. stocks is 2.8%. Republic Services Inc. had an annual average earning growth of 11.6% over the past 10 years. GuruFocus rated Republic Services Inc. the business predictability rank of 5-star.


Added: Iron Mountain Inc. (IRM)
Warren Buffett added to his holdings in Iron Mountain Inc. by 107.58%. His purchase prices were between $23 and $27.5, with an estimated average price of $24.77. The impact to his portfolio due to this purchase was 0.15%. His holdings were 7,000,000 shares as of 12/31/2009.

Iron Mountain Incorporated is one of the world's largest records and information management services company. Iron Mountain Inc. has a market cap of $4.56 billion; its shares were traded at around $22.4 with a P/E ratio of 25.2 and P/S ratio of 1.5. Iron Mountain Inc. had an annual average earning growth of 16.7% over the past 10 years. GuruFocus rated Iron Mountain Inc. the business predictability rank of 5-star.


Added: Walmart Stores Inc. (WMT)
Warren Buffett added to his holdings in Walmart Stores Inc. by 3.17%. His purchase prices were between $49.06 and $54.96, with an estimated average price of $52.56. The impact to his portfolio due to this purchase was 0.11%. His holdings were 39,037,142 shares as of 12/31/2009.

Wal-Mart Stores, Inc. is the world's largest retailer. Walmart Stores Inc. has a market cap of $204.07 billion; its shares were traded at around $53.56 with a P/E ratio of 15.2 and P/S ratio of 0.5. The dividend yield of Walmart Stores Inc. stocks is 2%. Walmart Stores Inc. had an annual average earning growth of 13.3% over the past 10 years. GuruFocus rated Walmart Stores Inc. the business predictability rank of 5-star.


Added: Becton Dickinson And Company (BDX)
Warren Buffett added to his holdings in Becton Dickinson And Company by 25%. His purchase prices were between $66.6 and $79.72, with an estimated average price of $73.09. The impact to his portfolio due to this purchase was 0.04%. His holdings were 1,500,000 shares as of 12/31/2009.

Becton, Dickinson and Co. is engaged principally in the manufacture and sale of a broad line of supplies, devices and systems used by health care professionals, medical research institutions and the general public. Becton Dickinson And Company has a market cap of $18.22 billion; its shares were traded at around $76.91 with a P/E ratio of 15.3 and P/S ratio of 2.5. The dividend yield of Becton Dickinson And Company stocks is 1.9%. Becton Dickinson And Company had an annual average earning growth of 10.8% over the past 10 years. GuruFocus rated Becton Dickinson And Company the business predictability rank of 4.5-star.


Reduced: Suntrust Banks Inc. (STI)
Warren Buffett reduced to his holdings in Suntrust Banks Inc. by 22.13%. His sale prices were between $18.89 and $23.63, with an estimated average price of $21.29. The impact to his portfolio due to this sale was -0.02%. Warren Buffett still held 2,398,206 shares as of 12/31/2009.

SunTrust Banks, Inc. is a commercial banking organization. Suntrust Banks Inc. has a market cap of $11.33 billion; its shares were traded at around $22.69 with and P/S ratio of 1.1. The dividend yield of Suntrust Banks Inc. stocks is 0.2%. Suntrust Banks Inc. had an annual average earning growth of 2.3% over the past 10 years.


Reduced: Gannett Co. Inc. (GCI)
Warren Buffett reduced to his holdings in Gannett Co. Inc. by 36.12%. His sale prices were between $9.76 and $15.63, with an estimated average price of $12.12. The impact to his portfolio due to this sale was -0.02%. Warren Buffett still held 2,202,200 shares as of 12/31/2009.

Gannett Co., Inc. is an international news and information company that publishes daily newspapers in the USA, including USA TODAY, the nation'slargest-selling daily newspaper. Gannett Co. Inc. has a market cap of $3.5 billion; its shares were traded at around $14.8 with a P/E ratio of 7.9 and P/S ratio of 0.6. The dividend yield of Gannett Co. Inc. stocks is 1.1%. Gannett Co. Inc. had an annual average earning growth of 4.9% over the past 10 years.


Reduced: Exxon Mobil Corp. (XOM)
Warren Buffett reduced to his holdings in Exxon Mobil Corp. by 66.95%. His sale prices were between $66.58 and $76.47, with an estimated average price of $72.11. The impact to his portfolio due to this sale was -0.03%. Warren Buffett still held 421,800 shares as of 12/31/2009.

Exxon Mobil Corporation's principal business is energy, involving exploration for, and production of, crude oil and natural gas, manufacturing of petroleum products and transportation and sale of crudeoil, natural gas and petroleum products. Exxon Mobil Corp. has a market cap of $313.63 billion; its shares were traded at around $66.28 with a P/E ratio of 16.5 and P/S ratio of 1. The dividend yield of Exxon Mobil Corp. stocks is 2.5%. Exxon Mobil Corp. had an annual average earning growth of 16.8% over the past 10 years. GuruFocus rated Exxon Mobil Corp. the business predictability rank of 4-star.


Reduced: Unitedhealth Group Inc. (UNH)
Warren Buffett reduced to his holdings in Unitedhealth Group Inc. by 65.44%. His sale prices were between $24.04 and $32.32, with an estimated average price of $28.33. The impact to his portfolio due to this sale was -0.04%. Warren Buffett still held 1,175,000 shares as of 12/31/2009.

UnitedHealth Group Inc. offers health care coverage and related services to help people achieve improved health and well-being through all stages of life. Unitedhealth Group Inc. has a market cap of $36.75 billion; its shares were traded at around $31.63 with a P/E ratio of 9.8 and P/S ratio of 0.4. The dividend yield of Unitedhealth Group Inc. stocks is 0.1%. Unitedhealth Group Inc. had an annual average earning growth of 30.4% over the past 10 years. GuruFocus rated Unitedhealth Group Inc. the business predictability rank of 4-star.


Reduced: Wellpoint Inc. (WLP)
Warren Buffett reduced to his holdings in Wellpoint Inc. by 60.41%. His sale prices were between $44.72 and $60.36, with an estimated average price of $52.49. The impact to his portfolio due to this sale was -0.08%. Warren Buffett still held 1,343,820 shares as of 12/31/2009.

WellPoint, Inc. is the largest publicly traded commercial health benefits company in terms of membership in the United States. Wellpoint Inc. has a market cap of $26.79 billion; its shares were traded at around $58.46 with a P/E ratio of 9.8 and P/S ratio of 0.4. Wellpoint Inc. had an annual average earning growth of 20.8% over the past 5 years.


Reduced: Ingersollrand Company Ltd. (IR)
Warren Buffett reduced to his holdings in Ingersollrand Company Ltd. by 27.57%. His sale prices were between $29.7 and $37.23, with an estimated average price of $34.74. The impact to his portfolio due to this sale was -0.1%. Warren Buffett still held 5,636,600 shares as of 12/31/2009.

Ingersoll Rand Company is one of the providers of security and safety, climate control, industrial productivity and infrastructure products. Ingersollrand Company Ltd. has a market cap of $10.2 billion; its shares were traded at around $31.88 with a P/E ratio of 19.4 and P/S ratio of 0.8. The dividend yield of Ingersollrand Company Ltd. stocks is 0.9%. Ingersollrand Company Ltd. had an annual average earning growth of 4.6% over the past 10 years.


Reduced: Johnson & Johnson (JNJ)
Warren Buffett reduced to his holdings in Johnson & Johnson by 26.5%. His sale prices were between $58.93 and $64.96, with an estimated average price of $62.28. The impact to his portfolio due to this sale was -0.8%. Warren Buffett still held 27,132,467 shares as of 12/31/2009.

Johnson & Johnson is engaged in the manufacture and sale of a broad range of products in the health care field in many countries of the world. Johnson & Johnson has a market cap of $175.51 billion; its shares were traded at around $63.61 with a P/E ratio of 13.7 and P/S ratio of 2.8. The dividend yield of Johnson & Johnson stocks is 3.1%. Johnson & Johnson had an annual average earning growth of 12.5% over the past 10 years. GuruFocus rated Johnson & Johnson the business predictability rank of 5-star.


Reduced: Conocophillips (COP)
Warren Buffett reduced to his holdings in Conocophillips by 34.34%. His sale prices were between $46.8 and $53.84, with an estimated average price of $51.35. The impact to his portfolio due to this sale was -1.14%. Warren Buffett still held 37,711,330 shares as of 12/31/2009.

ConocoPhillips is a major international integrated energy company with operations in some 49 countries. Conocophillips has a market cap of $74.07 billion; its shares were traded at around $49.92 with a P/E ratio of 13.9 and P/S ratio of 0.5. The dividend yield of Conocophillips stocks is 4%. Conocophillips had an annual average earning growth of 19% over the past 10 years. GuruFocus rated Conocophillips the business predictability rank of 3-star.


Sold Out: Norfolk Southern Corp. (NSC)
Warren Buffett sold out his holdings in Norfolk Southern Corp.. His sale prices were between $43.26 and $54.24, with an estimated average price of $50.39.

Norfolk Southern Corp., a Virginia-based holding company, owns two major freight railroads, Norfolk Southern Railway Company and Norfolk Western Railway Company, which operates in numerous states, the District of Columbia and the Province of Ontario. Norfolk Southern Corp. has a market cap of $18.35 billion; its shares were traded at around $49.89 with a P/E ratio of 18.1 and P/S ratio of 2.3. The dividend yield of Norfolk Southern Corp. stocks is 2.7%. Norfolk Southern Corp. had an annual average earning growth of 9.7% over the past 10 years. GuruFocus rated Norfolk Southern Corp. the business predictability rank of 3-star.


Sold Out: Union Pacific Corp. (UNP)
Warren Buffett sold out his holdings in Union Pacific Corp.. His sale prices were between $55.06 and $66.23, with an estimated average price of $62.44.

Union Pacific Corp. consists of one reportable segment, rail transportation, and the company's other product lines. Union Pacific Corp. has a market cap of $32.88 billion; its shares were traded at around $65.16 with a P/E ratio of 18.1 and P/S ratio of 2.3. The dividend yield of Union Pacific Corp. stocks is 1.7%. Union Pacific Corp. had an annual average earning growth of 1.7% over the past 10 years.
 
Exxon che aveva comprato nel quarto precedente viene ridotta subito, come Conoco...nessun nuovo acquisto......incremento su walmart.....
 
Berkshire Cut Stakes in J&J, Proctor & Gamble as Deal Neared

By Andrew Frye

Feb. 17 (Bloomberg) -- Berkshire Hathaway Inc. cut stakes in Johnson & Johnson, the world’s largest maker of health-care products, and Procter & Gamble Co., the No. 1 consumer-products company, as Chairman Warren Buffett raised cash for the biggest acquisition of his career.

Buffett’s company sold 26 percent of its stake in Johnson & Johnson, 9 percent of its Procter & Gamble, and 34 percent of oil producer ConocoPhillips, the Omaha, Nebraska-based company said yesterday in a regulatory filing. The stocks were the same ones Buffett sold a year earlier to fund investments in Goldman Sachs Group Inc. and General Electric Co. at the height of the credit crisis in 2008.

Buffett later told shareholders he “very much liked” the Goldman Sachs and GE investments, while confessing he “would have preferred to keep” the stocks as well. This time, Berkshire raised cash as it prepared for the $27 billion buyout of Burlington Northern Santa Fe Corp. Buffett also issued equity and sold $8 billion of debt in support of the railroad deal.

“It is basically raising extra liquidity for Burlington Northern,” said Glenn Tongue, a partner at T2 Partners LLC, which owns Berkshire shares. Buffett “always said he was willing to sell stocks to buy whole businesses.”

Berkshire also disclosed reduced stakes in Exxon Mobil Corp., SunTrust Banks Inc., Ingersoll-Rand Plc, UnitedHealth Group Inc., WellPoint Inc., Gannett Co. and CarMax Inc.

Buffett’s company now holds 27.1 million shares of Johnson & Johnson, reducing its stake below 1 percent of the New Brunswick, New Jersey-based company’s outstanding stock. The holding of Cincinnati-based Procter & Gamble fell to 87.5 million, making Berkshire the fourth-largest shareholder with 3 percent of the stock, according to Bloomberg data.

Copycats

Berkshire’s quarterly disclosure of its $57.9 billion U.S. portfolio is studied by mutual funds and individuals looking for clues about Buffett’s investment strategy. Buffett, the second- richest American, makes most of the investment decisions, while Lou Simpson manages the portfolio for car insurance unit Geico Corp. Berkshire is the largest shareholder of Coca-Cola Co., American Express Co. and Wells Fargo & Co.

Berkshire yesterday revealed an increased stake in Wells Fargo, Wal-Mart Stores Inc., Becton Dickinson & Co., Iron Mountain Inc. and Republic Services Inc. It listed about 320 million shares of San Francisco-based Wells Fargo at year-end, a 2.1 percent increase from three months earlier.

“He’s buying companies that are more leveraged to the economy by going into Wells Fargo and selling names like J&J and Procter & Gamble,” said Michael Yoshikami, chief investment strategist at Berkshire shareholder YCMNet Advisors. While the stock sales were tied to the Burlington deal, “there’s a rejiggering of the portfolio” away from stocks that do well when the economy is in recession, he said.

Picking One Stock

Wells Fargo, the biggest bank on the U.S. West Coast, has more than tripled from lows in March. Buffett has said he told students that month that if he had to put all his net worth into one stock, Wells Fargo “would be the stock.” His firm also increased its stake in the bank in the first and third quarters of 2009, and now owns 6.2 percent of the company.

The ConocoPhillips sale was its fifth consecutive decrease, leaving Berkshire with shares valued at $1.88 billion based on yesterday’s closing price. Buffett called the investment in the Houston-based oil company a “major mistake” after buying shares with oil prices near their peak in 2008. The Exxon Mobil stake fell by 67 percent to 421,800 shares and is valued at $28 million.

Health-Care Stocks

Berkshire reduced holdings in Minnetonka, Minnesota-based UnitedHealth, the biggest U.S. health insurer by revenue, by 65 percent, and cut Indianapolis-based rival WellPoint by 60 percent as the U.S. Congress debated health-care reform in the last three months of 2009. The UnitedHealth stake is valued at $37.2 million based on yesterday’s closing price, while the WellPoint stock is valued at $78.6 million.

“These stocks had become quite cheap during the height of health-care reform and they’ve gone up a tremendous amount,” said Steven Shubitz, an analyst with Edward Jones & Co. in Des Peres, Missouri. “The reality now is that we again have a period of uncertainty, since we don’t have any imminent health- care reform, and now we’re just in a waiting situation to see if health-care reform really is dead.”

Buffett, 79, built Berkshire into a $180 billion company through takeovers and the purchase of stock in companies he believes have lasting competitive advantages and superior management. He built a stake of more than 20 percent in Burlington Northern over two years before announcing a buyout of the Forth Worth, Texas-based railroad in November. Berkshire completed the deal last week.

Confidentiality

The filing omits information about some transactions because Buffett is permitted to keep them confidential for now. The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission sometimes allows companies to withhold data from the public to limit copycat investing while a firm is building or cutting a position. Buffett didn’t respond to a request for comment sent to an assistant after normal business hours yesterday.
 
Indietro