Ebenezer Scrooge
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Ho aperto l'ormai leggendario treddo su Donaldino un po' troppo tardi (un paio di mesi dopo le elezioni) e ho perso quindi tutte le covers della campagna elettorale.
Mi porto avanti col lavoro e lancio questo su Biden: sarà interessante vedere, vincitore oppure no, se la stampa americana ed internazionale lo tratteranno nello stesso modo con cui spesso viene ritratto il povero Donaldino...
Why Joe Biden’s instinctive caution makes real change possible
Jul 2nd 2020 edition
How a retro can be radical
Before covid-19 hit America, Mr Trump looked likelier than not to be re-elected, thanks to a relentlessly growing economy. Incumbent presidents almost always win in such circumstances. Our election model made him a narrow favourite, even though he was a few points down in national polls with his rival, Joe Biden. However, the president is now in a deep hole. Mr Biden is up by nine points—more in some polls. He is doing well in battleground states like Florida, Michigan and Wisconsin, and he has strong support among older voters and is doing surprisingly well among white voters who did not go to college.
Our model now gives Mr Trump only a roughly 10% chance of winning.
Mi porto avanti col lavoro e lancio questo su Biden: sarà interessante vedere, vincitore oppure no, se la stampa americana ed internazionale lo tratteranno nello stesso modo con cui spesso viene ritratto il povero Donaldino...
Why Joe Biden’s instinctive caution makes real change possible
Jul 2nd 2020 edition
How a retro can be radical
Before covid-19 hit America, Mr Trump looked likelier than not to be re-elected, thanks to a relentlessly growing economy. Incumbent presidents almost always win in such circumstances. Our election model made him a narrow favourite, even though he was a few points down in national polls with his rival, Joe Biden. However, the president is now in a deep hole. Mr Biden is up by nine points—more in some polls. He is doing well in battleground states like Florida, Michigan and Wisconsin, and he has strong support among older voters and is doing surprisingly well among white voters who did not go to college.
Our model now gives Mr Trump only a roughly 10% chance of winning.
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