Oil Price Volatility Is Set To Return | OilPrice.com
"Inoltre, nel lungo periodo, fino al 2040, l'IEA prevede che la quota di petrolio nel mix energetico globale diminuirà solo leggermente, passando dal 33 per cento nel 2015 al 31 per cento nel 2040, il che significa una crescita stabile della domanda come parte della crescita in una domanda di energia più ampia."
Un occhio alle proiezioni demografiche nel mondo, mi confermano che ci sarà sempre un maggiore bisogno di petrolio:
Snapshot of global population in 2017
According to the results of the 2017 Revision, the world’s population numbered nearly 7.6 billion as
of mid-2017 (table 1), implying that the world has added approximately one billion inhabitants over the
last twelve years. Sixty per cent of the world’s people live in Asia (4.5 billion), 17 per cent in Africa
(1.3 billion), 10 per cent in Europe (742 million), 9 per cent in Latin America and the Caribbean
(646 million), and the remaining 6 per cent in Northern America (361 million) and Oceania (41 million).
China (1.4 billion) and India (1.3 billion) remain the two most populous countries of the world,
comprising 19 and 18 per cent of the global total, respectively.
TABLE 1. POPULATION OF THE WORLD AND REGIONS, 2017, 2030, 2050 AND 2100,
ACCORDING TO THE MEDIUM-VARIANT PROJECTION
Region
Population (millions)
2017 2030 2050 2100
World ........................................ .............. 7 550 8 551 9 772 11 184
Africa ........................................ .............. 1 256 1 704 2 528 4 468
Asia ........................................ ................. 4 504 4 947 5 257 4 780
Europe ........................................ ... ......... 742 739 716 653
Latin America and the Caribbean . ......... 646 718 780 712
Northern America ........................ ......... 361 395 435 499
Oceania ........................................ . ......... 41 48 57 72
Source: United Nations, Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division (2017).
World Population Prospects: The 2017 Revision. New York: United Nations.
https://esa.un.org/unpd/wpp/Publications/Files/WPP2017_KeyFindings.pdf