$@!V€ A TUTTI. Data and charts about
SBAY 4 BEMBER.
Pubblico una serie di osservazioni e dati sulla company come cortesemente richiestomi.
Puntualizzo che non conosco nulla della società in questione e solo rarissimamente mi son occupato di questo segmento dello US stocks market; mi si perdonino pertanto superficialità, errori, tecniche non attinenti e quant'altro derivi da una mia palese mancata esperienza su
OTC & pk.
Subaye, Inc. (Subaye: 9/F., Beijing Business World, 56 Dongxinglong Avenue, CW District, Beijing BEJ 100062), formerly MyStarU.com, Inc., incorporated on January 6, 1997, together with its subsidiaries, is a video advertising and entertainment media provider in China. Subaye’s platform includes production, upload, storage, sharing and publishing onto more than 33 main video sharing portal Websites. Subaye also offers software as a service (SaaS) business solutions. The Company’s (Subaye.com) - and ?? Websites generated revenues during the fiscal year ended September 30, 2009 (fiscal 2009). As of November 30, 2009, the Company had 63,311 members. The Company operates in three business segments: Online Membership Services, which the Company provides online content and member services for commercial use; Entertainment Media, which the Company produces and places advertising solutions on behalf of its customers and routinely invests in entertainment arts productions in China, and Trade Services, which the Company operates a domestic and international importing and exporting services operation to acquire and distribute goods within China or internationally. On November 6, 2009, the Company acquired approximately 31% of Subaye.com, Inc., upon which Subaye.com, Inc. became a wholly owned subsidiary of Subaye.
The Company’s video database consisted of 72,126 profiles of corporate video showcases. These showcases offer a venue for small to mid-size enterprises (SMEs) to advertise their products and services and establish their corporate brands. The visitors of Subaye’s Websites, namely (Subaye.com) -, view the video showcases for Subaye’s members in order to select products or services they wish to purchase. The (Subaye.com) - Website and its affiliated Websites provide visitors with access to an index of over 3.12 million video clips, images and Web pages. Additional services, such as general education and basic online media promotions are provided through the Company’s Websites and through licensing arrangements.
(Subaye.com) -
The Company's (Subaye.com) - Website is focused on providing a video showcase advertising solution for its members to sell their goods and services into the Chinese marketplace. The Company launched the Internet video services on its (Subaye.com) - Website and began generating revenues from corporate video uploading services. Its corporate video uploading services users totaled 63,311 members as of November 30, 2009. Its paying members are charged a monthly fee of approximately 800 Renminbi, or $120. As of November 30, 2009, the Company had 17,299 paying members. The remainder of the members are utilizing the Website free of charge for varying periods of time based on its promotional activities.
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The Company's ?? Website is focused on selling goods and services to the marketplace in China. During fiscal 2009, Subaye discontinued services at ?? for the time being while the online shopping mall is in development. Subaye provided services at the ?? Website to its members free of charge.
MyStarU.com and Icurls.com
The Company purchased (Subaye.com) - on October 1, 2006, and www.icurls.com on November 20, 2006. The Web-based offerings consist of a streaming video platform with education courses in the music and movie industries in China. The courseware was developed using Guangzhou Subaye's EDU v5.0 Education Management System. The multimedia content is produced using Adobe Flash(r) video synchronized presentations and demonstrative video clips. Users can view multimedia performing training presentations that include downloadable video files of course materials and are then able to upload their own video files to teachers for analysis, which affords users the opportunity to have questions answered by course teachers.
Dal chart seguente si evince un fenomeno grafico che desta interesse.
-) Il low della company è stato configurato nel 2005 e quelli successivi 08/09 sono crescenti, in netto contrasto coi rispettivi lows 05/08/09 di S&P1500 supercomp., S&P500 e Nd/Comp.
-) La yearly/2008 contiene interamente quella del 2009 e questa contiene quella in corso del 2010.
-) La struttura delle barre 2009/2010 sembrerebbe una flag di consolidamento post sell-off 2008.
Operativamente (sulla base del chart allegato)
Se i corsi non saranno in grado di ricollocarsi sopra i lows 2007 e 2004, allora le pressioni ribassiste potrebbero aver la meglio, sospingendo i prezzi nuovamente a contatto coi lows 09/10. Ciò validerebbe la flag con implicazioni ribassiste. La rottura dei lows 2009 metterebbe a rischio la struttura maggiore "inside" con un ipotetico sell-off (su validazione = rottura chiara e persistente del low/08 a quota 4 $ circa) del 90%, comportando una polverizzazione della company ed un target terminale stimabile a 0.3/0.5 $ (in parziale accordo con 1/1000 da top storico del 2003).
In caso invece di recovery sopra i low chiave indicati (2007 e 2004) ridiventa plausibile l'attacco dei massimi/2009 e, su valido superamento, l'attacco dei massimi 2008. Oltre tali max/08 scatterebbe la proiezione bullish della inside-yearly ... incalcolabili
(120-area ?) !
Osservazioni strutturali. - Sulla base dei max decrescenti da sempre si evince chiaramente che la company è in bearish-array e plausibilmente non competitiva, essendo molto sub-performante rispetto i benchmarks prima indicati.
Il bear più crudo però è stato visibilmente interrotto nel 2005/2006, anno in cui la company ha iniziato a costruire minimi crescenti, incuneandosi in un triangolo tuttora in corso.
... . ... seguiranno altri charts/commenti non appena mi sarà possibile ... . ...
IMO -
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