paccamora
non ne uscirò più
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Wheat! Gap aperto a 800 circa da chiudere!!
- Creatore Discussione danka.news
- Data di inizio
oshoenzo
l'effeto lnga
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quindi si scende?
ciao morettina, una bella domanda al momento il mercato sembra non abbia ancora scontato la notizia della russia che dovrebbe andare in vigore dal primo luglio poi se il meteo si stabilizza e le previsioni dei raccolti saranno buone allora si che potrebbe crollare,ma al momento io navigo a vista anzi al buio
pur augurandomelo non credo in un crollo... del resto era previsto ke prima o poi lo dovessero togliere il blocco. Certo l'anno scorso è successo di tutto e non credo riaccada, comunque le previsioni del raccolto sono non eccezionali credo sotto i 97 ... comunque dovrebbe calare !!!!
ps io rimango dell'avviso che gli americani usano grano per la guerra del nord africa...
Gia ero convinto che dovesse calare, ora col discorso russo lo sono ancor piu, considerando anche il fatto che il prezzo secondo me e' iperpompato dalla speculazione. Ora con quest notizia forse i big potrebbero tirarsi fuori e raccimolare tutti i bei soldoni. Oltretutto come vedete dai grafici stiamo vicinissimi alla spalla....secondo me la forZa per arrivare ai 600 ci sta tutta...forse anche piu sotto!
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.... in effetti se fissi long queste notizie mi farebbero preoccuopare ma essendo short cmq nn mi sento tranquillo vista la passata stagione... grande wheat!..
.... in effetti se fissi long queste notizie mi farebbero preoccuopare ma essendo short cmq nn mi sento tranquillo vista la passata stagione... grande wheat!..
Mi sto facendo un tour in Francia e Germania: la siccità è drammatica, specie in Francia. Il grano russo e ucraino potrebbe alleviare il crollo produttivo, per cui ho ridotto la posizione long a 820, ma sono pronto a incrementare nuovamente sui 780-790.... deciderò appena mi saranno chiari i dati sul raccolto USA.
[Reuters] GRAINS-US corn 1 pct higher on weather, slows plantings
[Cc1 Sc1 Wc1] * Corn gains 1 percent, soy 0.5 pct, wheat flat * Slow planting lifts corn, may support wheat after Russia news * Coming Up: Weekly US ICSC chain stores; 1145 GMT (Updates prices, adds quotes and details, changes dateline) By Nick Trevethan SINGAPORE, June 1 (Reuters) - U.S. corn futures rebounded on Wednesday, rising almost 1 percent, driven higher by concerns of slow crop planting due to wet weather, but the risk of rising supplies from Russia kept wheat prices under pressure. The U.S. Department Agriculture's weekly crop progress report showed that farmers had planted 86 percent of their anticipated corn acreage as of May 29, up just 7 percentage points from a week earlier and 3 points below expectations. The five-year average for corn planted by late May is 95 percent. "G rains were oversold on the news from Russia as the weakness in wheat challenged the whole market . But t he corn plantings data was bullish, in fact we are very concerned about food price inflation moving forwards ," said Jonathan Barratt , managing director of Commodity Broking Services . " The worrying thing is that we are holding near highs , a nd price ex p ectations remain positive with a rise of another 10 percent if planting conditions don ' t improve ." Chicago Board of Trade corn for July delivery <Cc1> gained 0.87 percent to $7.54 per bushel. Technically, corn appeared stuck in a range of between $7.26-3/4 and $7.75 in the near term. In the longer term, if resistance at $7.75 was broken, the contract could target $8.40. Chicago wheat for July delivery <Wc1> reversed early gains slipping a quarter of a cent to $7.82 per bushel after sliding by almost 5 percent in the previous session following Russia's announcement over the weekend it would lift its near year-long export ban. Russia, formerly the world's third-largest wheat exporter, plans to lift its grain export ban from July 1, imposed since last August after the worst drought in over a century devastated crops. [ID:nLDE74R01E] The nation may export up to 20 million tonnes of grain from this year's crop if the harvest reaches 85-90 million tonnes, according to the Russian Grain Union industry lobby. [ID:nLDE74T0VQ] But CBS's Barratt noted U.S. wheat planting were also significantly behind schedule and the relief offered by the lifting of the Russian export ban might be temporary. "W heat plantings are also behind, b u t the Russian decision has provided some temporary relief from supply constraints . Remember though, Russia has predicted some very high yields the same thing happened last year and then it all fell apart . "W e are not sure they have the subsoil moisture to carry the harvest ," he warned. Soybeans for July delivery <Sc1> gained 0.5 percent to $13.82-1/2 on strength in crude oil and threats to global production of rapeseed, a competing oil seed, traders said.
[Cc1 Sc1 Wc1] * Corn gains 1 percent, soy 0.5 pct, wheat flat * Slow planting lifts corn, may support wheat after Russia news * Coming Up: Weekly US ICSC chain stores; 1145 GMT (Updates prices, adds quotes and details, changes dateline) By Nick Trevethan SINGAPORE, June 1 (Reuters) - U.S. corn futures rebounded on Wednesday, rising almost 1 percent, driven higher by concerns of slow crop planting due to wet weather, but the risk of rising supplies from Russia kept wheat prices under pressure. The U.S. Department Agriculture's weekly crop progress report showed that farmers had planted 86 percent of their anticipated corn acreage as of May 29, up just 7 percentage points from a week earlier and 3 points below expectations. The five-year average for corn planted by late May is 95 percent. "G rains were oversold on the news from Russia as the weakness in wheat challenged the whole market . But t he corn plantings data was bullish, in fact we are very concerned about food price inflation moving forwards ," said Jonathan Barratt , managing director of Commodity Broking Services . " The worrying thing is that we are holding near highs , a nd price ex p ectations remain positive with a rise of another 10 percent if planting conditions don ' t improve ." Chicago Board of Trade corn for July delivery <Cc1> gained 0.87 percent to $7.54 per bushel. Technically, corn appeared stuck in a range of between $7.26-3/4 and $7.75 in the near term. In the longer term, if resistance at $7.75 was broken, the contract could target $8.40. Chicago wheat for July delivery <Wc1> reversed early gains slipping a quarter of a cent to $7.82 per bushel after sliding by almost 5 percent in the previous session following Russia's announcement over the weekend it would lift its near year-long export ban. Russia, formerly the world's third-largest wheat exporter, plans to lift its grain export ban from July 1, imposed since last August after the worst drought in over a century devastated crops. [ID:nLDE74R01E] The nation may export up to 20 million tonnes of grain from this year's crop if the harvest reaches 85-90 million tonnes, according to the Russian Grain Union industry lobby. [ID:nLDE74T0VQ] But CBS's Barratt noted U.S. wheat planting were also significantly behind schedule and the relief offered by the lifting of the Russian export ban might be temporary. "W heat plantings are also behind, b u t the Russian decision has provided some temporary relief from supply constraints . Remember though, Russia has predicted some very high yields the same thing happened last year and then it all fell apart . "W e are not sure they have the subsoil moisture to carry the harvest ," he warned. Soybeans for July delivery <Sc1> gained 0.5 percent to $13.82-1/2 on strength in crude oil and threats to global production of rapeseed, a competing oil seed, traders said.
* Corn drops half percent on dry Midwest weather forecast * Wheat steady after over 7 pct slide in 2 days * U.S. eastern farmers race to plant as clouds clear (Adds details, quotes) By Naveen Thukral SINGAPORE, June 2 (Reuters) - Chicago corn fell around half a percent on Thursday, while soybeans were little changed on forecasts of dry weather boosting prospects for U.S. Midwest plantings, which have been delayed by excessive rains. Wheat was steady after sliding more than 7 percent in the last two sessions, the biggest two-day plunge in nearly three weeks, triggered by Russia's return to the grain exports market after a year. An open stretch of warm, dry weather in the eastern U.S. corn belt this week is raising farmers' hopes they will be able to catch up on crop planting after a wet, chilly spring. [WEA/MDWST] "Limiting gains in corn was a dry weather outlook for the corn belt which should boost the pace of sowing this week to close to 97 percent," ANZ said in a report. Chicago Board of Trade July corn <CN1> fell 0.4 percent to $7.55-1/4 a bushel by 0340 GMT, after rising 1.5 percent in the last session. July wheat <WN1> rose 0.2 percent to 7.60-1/2 a bushel and soybeans for July delivery <SN1> rose 0.2 percent to $13.88-3/4 a bushel. The U.S. Agriculture Department said 86 percent of the U.S. corn crop was planted as of Sunday, below the five-year average of 95 percent. USDA also said 66 percent of the crop was emerged, versus 77 percent on average. Commodity brokerage The Linn Group on Wednesday cut its 2011 spring wheat acreage forecast to 13.827 million acres, down 200,000 from its prior forecast and below the USDA outlook for 14.427 million acres. [ID:nN01187186] Wheat remained under pressure with Russia's aggressive moves to sell after making the announcement over the weekend that its grain export ban would be lifted from July 1. [ID:nLDE74R01E] Suppliers in Russia, formerly the world's No. 3 wheat exporter before a drought forced it to ban exports last August, offered wheat in a tender by Lebanon, with prices about $70 per tonne below U.S. wheat offers. [ID:nLDE7501GF] Russian wheat prices have been rising this week and narrowing their discount to global prices, prompting a call from Russia's central bank for floating tariffs on exports to help keep soaring inflation in check. [ID:nLDE75018B] The wheat market remains vulnerable to inclement weather across key producing regions of the world, although there are some forecasts calling for rains in the drought-hit parts of Europe. "World Weather notes that relief to dryness is expected across Western Europe over the coming 10 days," according to a report by Luke Mathews, a commodity strategist at Commonwealth Bank of Australia. "However, concern over developing dryness will remain in the CIS and east-central China. Conditions remain too wet in parts of Canada and the northern U.S. plains, while the southern U.S. plains are still in drought." Only 68 percent of the U.S. spring wheat crop was seeded as of Sunday, according to USDA data released on Tuesday, below the five-year average of 95 percent. Farmers in waterlogged parts of eastern Saskatchewan are nearly out of time for fields to dry in time for planting, after steady rains in the past few days, provincial government officials said. [ID:nN01193465] There was some pressure on the agricultural markets, with a broad-based weakness in commodities following disappointing manufacturing and jobs data from the United States which has heightened concerns over the global economic recovery. Private employers added a scant 38,000 jobs in May, far below economist expectations and the lowest since September 2010. The figures do not bode well for Friday's U.S. non-farm payrolls data, analysts said.
Io un pochino compro. Questo lo avete letto?
È la primavera più calda dal 1900: spettro siccità in Francia, Gran Bretagna, Germania e Russia - Il Sole 24 ORE
È la primavera più calda dal 1900: spettro siccità in Francia, Gran Bretagna, Germania e Russia - Il Sole 24 ORE
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entrato short lunedì after notizia from russia ed uscito ieri... sinceramente ora sto alla finestra..sale per il caldo o scende per la produzione salita? vedremo...
HoChiMinh
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news fresca fresca
Wheat Fields Wilt in Drought as Parched Earth Spreads From China to Kansas
By Luzi Ann Javier, Madelene Pearson and Whitney McFerron - Jun 5, 2011 6:00 PM GMT+0200
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Wheat as much as doubled in the past year as crops failed, spurring Ukraine and Russia to curb shipments and increasing the U.S. share of global sales by the most since 2004. Photographer: Andrey Rudakov/Bloomberg
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May 20 (Bloomberg) -- Bloomberg's Nejra Cehic reports on forecasts of lower grain crops in Europe due to dry weather conditions. (Source: Bloomberg)
A crop on extremely dry ground is harvested on May 29, 2011 in Hefei, Anhui Province, China. Source:ChinaFotoPress/Getty Images
A plough prepares farmland for the planting of wheat in Chernigov region, Ukraine. Photographer: Vincent Mundy/Bloomberg
Paolo Barilla, vice chairman of Parma, Italy-based Barilla Holding SpA, the largest pasta maker, said in an interview last month, the “yo-yo” price moves are his biggest business worry. Photographer: Simon Dawson/Bloomberg
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The worst droughts in decades are wilting wheat fields from China to the U.S. to the U.K., overwhelming Russia’s return to grain markets and driving prices to the highest levels since 2008.
Parts of China, the biggest grower, had the least rain in a century, some European regions are the driest in 50 years and almost half the winter-wheat crop in the U.S., the largest exporter, is rated poor or worse. Inventory is dropping 8.8 percent, the most in five years, Rabobank International says. Prices will advance 20 percent to as high as $9.25 a bushel by Dec. 31, a Bloomberg survey of 14 analysts and traders shows.
Wheat as much as doubled in the past year as crops failed, spurring Ukraine and Russia to curb shipments and increasing the U.S. share of global sales by the most since 2004. Russia ending its export ban on July 1 and Ukraine lifting quotas may not be enough as crops wither elsewhere, fuelling gains in food prices which the United Nations says are already near a record.
“In 32 years, I’ve never seen so many problems in so many places,” said Dan Basse, the president of AgResource Co., a farm researcher in Chicago. “We’re concerned about the world story now,” said Basse, who has been studying agricultural markets since 1979 and expects prices as high as $10 this year.
For Paolo Barilla, vice chairman of Parma, Italy-based Barilla Holding SpA, the largest pasta maker, the yo-yo price moves are his biggest business worry, he said in an interview last month. Rising demand means grains will keep costing more, John Bryant, the chief executive officer of Battle Creek, Michigan-based Kellogg Co., the largest U.S. maker of breakfast cereal, said in a conference call last month.
Wheat firm; corn steady ahead of planting report * Weak dollar supports grain markets * Coming up: USDA weekly crop progress report * Technicals: Soy to retrace to $13.96/bushel (Adds details, quotes) By Naveen Thukral SINGAPORE, June 6 (Reuters) - Chicago wheat edged higher on Monday, supported by a weak dollar, while corn and soy were little changed ahead of a U.S. plantings report expected to show that farmers made progress in crop seeding following dry weather in the Midwest. The agricultural markets are also awaiting U.S. Department of Agriculture June supply-demand report on Thursday, which could go beyond updating ending stocks for corn and soybeans to include revisions to acreage and yields following rain delays. "I think it's going to be fairly slow with positioning ahead of those reports," said Adam Davis, a senior commodity analyst at Melbourne-based fund manager Merricks Capital. "Some are expecting a large jump in corn plantings in northern areas of the Midwest." Chicago Board of Trade July wheat <WN1> rose 0.1 percent to 7.74-1/2 a bushel by 0334 GMT and soybeans for July delivery <SN1> gained half a cent to $14.15 a bushel. July corn <CN1> rose quarter of a cent to $7.54.1/4 a bushel. With corn ending stocks set to fall to their lowest level in 15 years in the world's top exporter of the grain, the United States needs a bumper crop to replenish stocks. Excessive rain from North Dakota to Ohio has delayed corn seeding in the eastern Midwest, while farmland in the South has been inundated by flood waters from the Mississippi River. U.S. farmers made progress after a slight change in weather in some regions, although outlook calls for more rain later this week, a forecaster said. "Despite the scattered showers and thunderstorms in Indiana and Ohio during the past 24 hours, the overall warmer and drier weather has allowed for increased corn and soybean planting, which is expected to continue through Wednesday," said Mike Palmerino, a forecaster with Telvent DTN in a report. "More frequent showers and thunderstorms during the last half of the week will disrupt any remaining planting." Last week, USDA's weekly crop progress report showed that farmers had planted 86 percent of their anticipated corn acreage as of May 29. The five-year average for corn planted by late May is 95 percent. A Reuters Poll of 15 analysts showed farmers will plant 90.349 million acres with corn. [ID:nN25162098] The Linn Group last week said it was expecting corn to be planted on 87.233 million acres, down from its May 18 estimate of 89.538 million, and a full 5 million acres below the USDA forecast. U.S. spring wheat futures continued to climb, adding more than 2 percent on Monday to touch its highest since July 2008 as wet weather delays plantings. July spring wheat futures <MWEc1> on the Minneapolis Grain Exchange rose 2.2 percent to $10.84-1/4 a bushel, the highest spot month close since July 2008. The contract's premium to Chicago wheat is widest in three years amid worries about tight global supplies of high protein wheat. In addition to the USDA reports, the grain markets are closely watching the dollar. The dollar index <.DXY>, which tracks the strength of the greenback against as basket of currencies, fell 0.1 percent on Monday. Earlier in the day, it slid to a one-month low. A weaker dollar makes U.S. commodities more competitive in the international market.
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...aiutoooo...il mio inglese fa schifo! un riassuntino?
ps. entrato short stamattina after candelozzo rosso
..anzi..che vada
ps. entrato short stamattina after candelozzo rosso
..anzi..che vada
HoChiMinh
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...aiutoooo...il mio inglese fa schifo! un riassuntino?
ps. entrato short stamattina after candelozzo rosso
-4 : > ci voleva questa ripulita <
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...inspiegabile? se 8cosa che nn mi auguro) le commodities sconteranno un rallentamento , stagione in linea con i raccolti, qualche pioggia (tipo in francia in sti giorni) il wheat torna a 500$
bignola
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La pioggia ora al grano quasi in maturazione non serve + una mazza, anzi se ci sono temporali darà ancora + danno
Beh, allora bisogna che i traders si facciano un corso di agricoltura... perché il frumento sta scendendo sulla scorta delle piogge in europa e delle prossime forniture russe dal primo luglio....
Al momento ho chiuso tutte le posizioni: prima il long in area 840, 820 e 780, oggi lo short aperto contestualmente alla chiusura dell'ultima tranche.
