Estimations
Lev gas
Tolgo ordine a 0,55 e passo a 0,50 ... Questo va giù come una pigna
UPDATE 1-POLL-US natgas stocks seen up 78 bcf in weekly EIAs3 hours
ago via Thomson Reuters
* Injection estimates range 55 to 90 bcf
* Median build in Reuters poll 81 bcf (Adds weather data, background,
table)
NEW YORK, July 14 (Reuters) - U.S. natural gas storage levels on
average are expected to rise by 78 billion cubic feet when weekly data
from the U.S. Energy Information Administration are released early
Thursday.
In the weekly Reuters survey of 26 industry traders and analysts,
injection estimates for the week ended July 9 ranged widely from 55
bcf to 90 bcf.
Stocks rose an adjusted 88 bcf for the same week last year, while the
five-year average gain for that week is 89 bcf.
The median build in the survey was 81 bcf.
The EIA storage report will be issued Thursday at 10:30 a.m. EDT (1430
GMT).
The U.S. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration said there
were 88 cooling degree days last week, 22 warmer than the previous
week, 18 warmer than normal and 29 warmer than the same week last
year.
Degree days, a measure of departure in the mean daily temperature from
65 degrees Fahrenheit (18 Celsius), are used to reflect demand for
energy to cool or heat homes and businesses.
In the last report for the week ended July 2, overall storage rose 78
bcf, above the Reuters estimate of 72 bcf and the year-ago gain of 74
bcf but below the five-year average increase for that week of 80 bcf.
<ReutersLink ID='ID:nPRWPI54' />
The report showed total domestic gas inventories climbed to 2.762
trillion cubic feet, just 23 bcf, or 1 percent, below last year's
record high and a level not normally reached until the first week of
August.
The weekly build cut the inventory surplus to the five-year average by
2 bcf to 285 bcf, but storage still stands at a comfortable 11.5
percent cushion to that benchmark.
Eastern storage climbed 48 bcf in the last report but slipped to about
flat with last year's levels.
Consuming Region West storage, which gained 11 bcf for the week,
climbed to 6 percent above the same year-ago week.
Inventories in the Producing Region added 19 bcf and edged up to 5
percent below the same week in 2009.
A total build Thursday at the Reuters survey estimate would widen the
deficit to last year to 33 bcf and trim the surplus to the five-year
average to about 274 bcf.
In the last four reports, total stocks rose 306 bcf, or about 77 bcf
per week, versus a 357-bcf adjusted increase for the same one-month
period last year and a 331-bcf five-year average gain for that period.
NOAA said it expected 97 cooling degree days this week, 24 warmer than
normal and 25 more than the same year-ago week.
Early injection estimates for next week's EIA report ranged from 36
bcf to 56 bcf, versus a 70 bcf build for the same week last year and a
five-year average gain of 64 bcf.
Storage hit an all-time high of 3.837 tcf in late November, and ended
March with about 1.65 tcf in the ground, or about 11 percent above the
five-year average at the start of the April-through-October stock
building season.
If weekly stock builds through October match the five-year average
pace, U.S. inventories will begin next heating season with 3.768 tcf
in the ground, below last November's record high of 3.837 tcf, but
still more than 8 percent above average.
The following is a partial list of forecasters who participated in
this week's survey. If forecasters provided a range, the midpoint was
used. Numbers in billion cubic feet (bcf).
Advantage IQ + 76
Caprock + 74
CH Guernsey + 61
Citi Futures + 79
Energy Mgmt Inst + 75
enerjay + 75
FirstEnergy + 80
First Enercast + 81
Gelber & Assoc + 60
Hencorp + 90
IAF Advisors + 85
PFGBest + 81
Prestige Economics + 55
Raymond James + 75
Ritterbusch & Assoc + 82
SMC Forecasting + 68
Societe Generale + 86
Stephen Smith Energy + 90
Strategic Energy + 85
Summit Energy + 81
Tradition Energy + 84 (Reporting by Joe Silha; Editing by John
Picinich)
)darebbe una mano al gas.
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