Quella "sporca" dozzina !

[MaxVaro]

Grazie x l'interessamento URE!

In effetti Kem è uno dei titoli ove mi sento + al sicuro, me l'hanno sempre "venduta" come un'azienda solida, piuttosto sottovalutata, P/E molto basso...
Giustamente anche il tuo report mette in risalto la positività sul quadro dei fondamentali, ma anche alcune domande che è necessario porsi: perchè il titolo è sottovalutato dal mercato?!
Il potenziale di apprezzamento è molto elevato ma finora non ha mai spiccato il volo: cosa manca?!
E' il quadro economico generale che non è favorevole? Il settore dove opera non è "appetibile" x la massa degli investitori?
Ci sono molti titoli italiani che attraversano situazioni analoghe (Gewiss, Carraro....).
Non sono in grado di spingermi molto oltre, ma sò di certo che nei prossimi mesi cercherò di "riequilibrare" il portafoglio cercando di dare fiducia ai titoli + solidi, tranquilli, da "cassetto" che terrò in valigia x anni, mentre quelli + speculativi li userò sono nel breve-medio termine pronto a skizzare fuori se le cose si mettono male......

Grazie ancora x il tuo utilissimo intervento a sostegno dei miei sforzi!

Se posso chiedertelo... da dove hai preso questa analisi x punti? io solitamente usavo www.vectorvest.com x cose simili, ma adesso è un po' che non lo "batto"

Vedo se trovo qualche bel grafico con analisi tecnica da allegare sulle KEM....

X chi fosse interessato e non lo sapesse Kemet si occupa di condensatori al tantaglio (tecnologia che consente di contenere le dimensioni anche x valori di capacità elevatissimi, e impensabili con le tecnologie tradizionali) ed è leader nel proprio settore.

Buona Domenica dal Varo

 

[MaxVaro]

ARBA

Watch candidate (11 Dec 2001) [Auto] Help
Has fallen 96% since the peak on 22 Sep 2000 at 169. Has broken the ceiling of the falling trend, which indicates a slower initial falling rate. Positive volume balance strengthens the stock in the short term. The average difference between the highest and lowest price of the month is 80%. The risk is therefore high

Nota del Varo: sul FOL principale discutendo con Iena (nel suo bellissimo post sulle stategie operative) a fine mese scorso avevo indicato la possibilità di entrare sul recupero dei 5$ con target 7$.... purtroppo non ho + seguito i mercati con costanza da allora e la poca operatività l'ho diretta su P.A...... morale: FATE COME DICO MA NON COME FACCIO !!!!

Al momento è in ipercomprato.... io aspetterei fino a vedere 7,5$ e poi fuori, almeno che non rompa al rialzo la trendline ascendente di breve.

 

[MaxVaro]

CCRT

Impostazione a breve termine:

Impostazione a medio termine:

Analisi (automatica):

Watch candidate (11 Dec 2001) [Auto] Help
Has fallen 86% since the peak on 5 Oct 2000 at 65.56. Has broken the ceiling of the falling trend, which indicates a slower initial falling rate. RSI is overbought, which indicates a potential short-term reaction down. The volume balance is positive and strengthens the stock in the short term. High risk.

 

[MaxVaro]

INSP

Comment:

Watch candidate (13 Dec 2001) [Auto]
Has fallen 96% since the peak on 17 May 2000 at 61.38. Has broken the ceiling of the falling trend, which indicates a slower initial falling rate. High risk with an average difference between the lowest and the highest price of the month of 80%.

 

[MaxVaro]

NT

Standard Time:

Comment:

Weak sell candidate (13 Dec 2001) [Auto] Help
Has fallen 91% since the peak on 25 Jul 2000 at 87.00. Has broken the ceiling of the falling trend, which indicates a slower initial falling rate. Has broken a support level in the short term and given a sell signal for the short term trading range. The average difference between the highest and lowest price of the month is 41%. The risk is therefore high.

 

[MaxVaro]

SCMR

Comment:

Watch candidate (13 Dec 2001) [Auto]
Has fallen 97% since the peak on 18 Aug 2000 at 167. Has broken the ceiling of the falling trend, which indicates a slower initial falling rate. Has broken a support level in the short term and given a sell signal for the short term trading range. High risk with an average difference between the lowest and the highest price of the month of 65%.

 

[MaxVaro]

SCRM

Short Term:

Standard Term:

Comment:

Watch candidate (13 Dec 2001) [Auto]
Has fallen 86% since the peak on 7 Aug 2000 at 14.25. Has broken through the ceiling of a falling trend channel. This indicates a slower falling rate initially, or the start of a more horizontal development. High risk

 

[MaxVaro]

SUNW

Comment:

Weak sell candidate (13 Dec 2001) [Auto]
Has fallen 81% since the peak on 1 Sep 2000 at 64.31. Has broken through the ceiling of a falling trend channel. This indicates a slower falling rate initially, or the start of a more horizontal development. Has broken a support level in the short term and given a sell signal for the short term trading range. The average difference between the highest and lowest price of the month is 40%. The risk is therefore high.

 

[MaxVaro]

TQNT

Short Term:

Standard Term:

Comment:

Sell candidate (13 Dec 2001) [Auto]
Has fallen 76% since the peak on 21 Jun 2000 at 65.37. Is within a falling trend. Continued negative development within the trend channel is indicated. High risk with an average difference between the lowest and the highest price of the month of 63%.

 

[MaxVaro]

Fin qui.....

ho postato grafici e analisi dei titoli che ho ancora in saccoccia, ad eccezzione di CALICO (CLIC) quotata sull'OTCB e KEMET (KEM) quotata al NYSE e non analizzata da Investtech (troverò qualche alternativa interessante x queste 2...)

Adesso i titoli che ho tradato di recente e che tengo in watch list...in quanto facenti parte a diritto della Dozzina!

 

[MaxVaro]

BLUE

Short Term:

Standard Term:

Comment:

Watch candidate (13 Dec 2001) [Auto] Help
Has fallen 97% since the peak on 9 Aug 2000 at 69.75. Has broken the ceiling of the falling trend, which indicates a slower initial falling rate. Positive volume balance, i.e. high volume in days of rising prices and low volume in days of falling prices, strengthens the stock in the short term. The average difference between the highest and lowest price of the month is 100%. The risk is therefore high.

 

[MaxVaro]

Short Term:

Standard Term:

Comment:

Weak sell candidate (13 Dec 2001) [Auto]
Has fallen 91% since the peak on 16 Oct 2000 at 243. Has broken through the ceiling of a falling trend channel. This indicates a slower falling rate initially, or the start of a more horizontal development. An inverse head and shoulders formation is under development. A decisive break of the resistance at 26.41, ideally with an increase in volume, signals a further rise. High risk with an average difference between the lowest and the highest price of the month of 67%.

 

[MaxVaro]

NSM

Standard Term:

Comment:

Watch candidate (13 Dec 2001) [Auto]
Has fallen 55% since the peak on 20 Jun 2000 at 72.25. Is within an approximate horizontal trend, which indicates further development in the same direction. Is moving within a rectangle formation between support at 21.34 and resistance at 37.85. A decisive break through one of these levels indicates the new direction for the stock. The volume balance is positive and strengthens the stock in the short term. The average difference between the highest and lowest price of the month is 38%. The risk is therefore high.

Nota: molto interessante da tradare tra supporto a 21 e resist. a 38 (di medio) come indicato nel commento.....

 

[MaxVaro]

NVLS

Short term:

Standard term:

Comment:

Weak sell candidate (13 Dec 2001) [Auto]
Has broken the ceiling of the falling trend, which indicates a slower initial falling rate. Has met the objective at 36.63 after the break of a rectangle formation. The price has now risen again, but the formation indicates a further fall. High risk with an average difference between the lowest and the highest price of the month of 38%.

Titolo da acq. sulle debolezze.... l'ho tradita mesi fà e mi ha giustamente fatto vedere di cosa è capace quando la "scarichi"....

 

[MaxVaro]

RBAK

Long Term:

Short Term:

Standard Term:

Comments:

Watch candidate (13 Dec 2001) [Auto] Help
Has fallen 98% since the peak on 30 Jun 2000 at 179. Has broken through the ceiling of a falling trend channel. This indicates a slower falling rate initially, or the start of a more horizontal development. High risk
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Weak sell candidate (24 Dec 2001) [Auto] Help
Has fallen 98% since the peak on 30 Jun 2000 at 179. Has broken through the ceiling of a falling trend channel. This indicates a slower falling rate initially, or the start of a more horizontal development. RSI is oversold, which indicates a potential short-term reaction up. High risk.
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Weak buy candidate (25 Jan 2002) [Auto]

Has fallen 97% since the peak on 30 Jun 2000 at 179. Has broken through the ceiling of a falling trend channel. This indicates a slower falling rate initially, or the start of a more horizontal development. Has reacted back after a possible false break of a inverse head and shoulders formation. A decisive break up through 5.38 will again give new positive signals to the stock, while a break on the opposite side of the formation will be a strong sell signal. High risk.

 

[MaxVaro]

SSTI

Short Term:

Standard Term:

Comment:

Weak sell candidate (13 Dec 2001) [Auto]
Has fallen 69% since the peak on 21 Jun 2000 at 36.25. Has broken through the ceiling of a falling trend channel. This indicates a slower falling rate initially, or the start of a more horizontal development. Has broken a support level in the short term and given a sell signal for the short term trading range. The average difference between the highest and lowest price of the month is 58%. The risk is therefore high.

 

[MaxVaro]

ARBA - Grafici versione NAZ100

Cliccando sulla "versione NAZ100" del titolo escono dei grafici ancora + completi, medie mobili, candele....

Long term:

Standard term:

Candle stick (last 21 days):

Watch candidate (24 Dec 2001) [Auto] Help

Has fallen 97% since the peak on 22 Sep 2000 at 169. Has broken through the ceiling of a falling trend channel. This indicates a slower falling rate initially, or the start of a more horizontal development. High risk.

Period * Volatility ** Liquidity * Price change
1 day * 6.55% ***** 30.04 ** -1.5%
5 days * 23.35% *** 73.39 ** 1.3%
22 days * 79.30% ** 69.62 ** 17.3%
66 days * 294.86% * 35.38 ** 155.6%

Short term:

Buon S.Stefano!
Max

 

[MaxVaro]

UP!

ARBA ottima in questo canale rialzista di breve.....
TQNT ha ripreso una bella spinta, mannaggia... puntavo all'ingresso a 10$, forse sono stato troppo ingordo!
Vediamo se si appoggia a 11,5 come suggerito da Bofano.....
Max

 

[MaxVaro]

UP!

Interessanti INSP JNPR NSM
RBAK mi fà venire il nervoso..... mannaggia! se conferma Head&Shoulder inverso può proseguire bene la salita, ma non mi fido...... a questi livelli del NAZ!
Max

 

[MaxVaro]

CLIC

Grafico a 2 mesi:

Grafico a 1 mese con candele:

Aspetto finchè le %K e %D non si tornano ad incrociare.... sperando che arrivi almeno a 0,25..... rientrerò non prima di 0,10 !
Purtroppo il FOL non digerisce questi grafici....
Max